Preview/Picks Week 10
Week Ten Preview and Picks
Games To Watch This Weekend
1) Michigan at Iowa—An important matchup for the Big Ten Legends Division. Iowa is coming off a terrible loss at Minnesota and now faces the Wolverines who were impressive last week in the 36-14 rout of Purdue. Iowa is always tough in Kinnick Stadium and is 5-0 this year however the Hawkeyes have struggled significantly against mobile quarterbacks this year. Losses at Iowa State and Minnesota can attest for that. Look for a close game but in the end the Wolverine prevail.
2) Texas Tech at Texas—The Red Raiders enter this tilt at 5-3 and have been the epitome of Jekyl and Hyde over the last two weeks. An amazing victory in Norman, Oklahoma followed by the complete annihilation by Iowa State last weekend in Lubbock. I think Texas Tech bounces back in this spot. Keep in mind their only losses have been to Texas A&M by five and Kansas State by seven prior to the Iowa State debacle. How good is the Texas secondary? We are about ready to find out. Texas completely stuffed Kansas at every turn last weekend allowing only 46 total yards on defense. However, Texas Tech is a different animal.
3) TCU at Wyoming—You wouldn’t expect this to be on many people’s radar however TCU, Wyoming and Boise State all remain undefeated in Mountain West play. The Horned Frogs (6-2) are starting to regain form and have looked impressive in their last three victories over San Diego State, New Mexico and BYU outscoring those teams 134-42. With a win this weekend the Wyoming Cowboys would become bowl-eligible. The Cowboys’ quest for bowl eligibility with probably have to wait a weekend as their defense which yields 30.1 points per game should be overcome by the TCU rushing and passing game.
4) South Carolina at Arkansas—It is amazing how a matchup of two top ten teams doesn’t even register on the National radar this weekend. Make no mistake though this game has major implications in the SEC. A win for South Carolina would put them in the driver’s seat for the SEC East title and a trip to Atlanta. South Carolina has struggled offensively since the loss of Marcus Lattimore and will need an excellent effort from both Conner Shaw and Alshon Jeffrey this weekend. Arkansas is 7-1 but have been a little lackluster in their wins at Mississippi and Vanderbilt in the last two weeks. The Razorbacks still hold out hope for a three way tie in the SEC West if LSU beats Alabama and then Arkansas upsets LSU on November 25, 2011.
5) Kansas State at Oklahoma State—The seventeenth ranked Wildcats try to respond after the beat down that was administered to them by the Sooners last weekend. A trip to Stillwater against the most potent offensive team in the country might not be the answer. Oklahoma State appears ready to take the “next step” toward National prominence and cannot afford any slip ups before its meeting with rival Oklahoma on December 3, 2011. The Cowboy defense has been suspect against the run this year but KSU simply doesn’t have the firepower to pull the upset. KSU keeps it close early but OSU pulls away late. Cowboys 52 Wildcats 35
6) Louisville at West Virginia—The Cardinals have won two in a row in Big East play and have evened their record at 4-4. A trip to Morgantown is a tough task but HC Charlie Strong has built a very good defense at U of L. The Cardinals are yielding only 16.3 points per game and it should be interesting to see if they can stop a Mountaineer offense that is averaging 38.6 points per game. Of course West Virginia can’t stop anyone and the winner of this game could have a chance at the Big East’s BCS birth.
7) LSU at Alabama—Quite frankly this weekend doesn’t have a ton of great games but it does have one monumental tilt in LSU vs. Alabama. Alabama is a five point favorite at home and the winner of this game should have the inside track to a National title game birth. Both teams boast suffocating defenses. Alabama’s defense is giving up only 6.8 points per game and hasn’t yielded over 14 points in any contest this year. LSU is yielding only 11.5 points per game on defense and has only given up more than 11 points twice this season (West Virginia 21 and Oregon 27). Although Alabama is the home favorite I think that LSU gets the job done behind Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson who combined have a TD: INT ratio of 15-1. Turnovers will be key and if things hold to form LSU should take care of the ball.
LET’S DO SOME GAMBLIN’
Top 11 for Week Ten (No particular Order)
1) Texas Tech +14.5 at Texas
2) Oklahoma -13.5 vs. Texas A&M
3) Notre Dame -13.5 at Wake Forest
4) Stanford -20.5 at Oregon State
5) Arizona -3.5 vs. Utah
6) Missouri +2.5 at Baylor
7) Cincinnati -3.0 at Pittsburgh
8- Virginia -2.0 at Maryland
9) Houston -28.0 at Alabama-Birmingham
10) North Carolina -3.5 at North Carolina State
11) (Thursday Night Special) Tulsa +1.5 at Central Florida
Honorable Mention and Local Interest:
1) Wisconsin -25.5 vs. Purdue
2) Iowa State -14.0 vs. Kansas
3) Minnesota +27.5 at Michigan State
4) Arizona State -9.0 at UCLA
5) Middle Tennessee State +20.5 at Tennessee
6) Arkansas State -17.0 at Florida Atlantic
Good Luck to all this weekend.
Best Bets Yearly Summary:
Week One (6-4-0) Top 10 (3-2-0) Honorable Mention and Local Interest
Week Two (6-4-0) Top 10 (3-1-0) HM and Local
Week Three (6-4-0) Top 10 (3-2-0) HM and Local
Week Four (5-5-0) Top 10 (4-1-0) HM and Local
Week Five (5-4-1) Top 10 (2-4-0) HM and Local
Week Six (5-5-0) Top 10 (4-1-0) HM and Local
Week Seven (4-5-1) Top 10 (3-2-0) HM and Local
Week Eight (4-7-0) Top 10 (4-1-0) HM and Local
Week Nine (5-5-0) Top 10 (4-1-0) HM and Local
Totals: 46-43-2 Top 10 (30-15-0) HM and Local